Dalton Kincaid
24-Year-Old
2023 Receiving Stats
REC
73
YDS
673
TD
2
AVG
9.2
TAR
91
2024 Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Kincaid took a while to gain Josh Allen’s trust, but the 2024 first-round draft pick out of Utah got going from Week 7 onward, compiling 56 catches for 555 yards and two touchdowns on 72 targets over the final 11 games of his rookie season. It helped that fellow Bills tight end Dawson Knox missed five of those games due to a wrist injury, but Kincaid thrived even after Knox returned, as Kincaid’s two highest yardage totals (87 and 84) came in the final two games of the 2023 regular season. The biggest knock on Kincaid’s otherwise promising rookie season was that he caught only two of Allen’s 29 touchdown passes. Despite scoring eight touchdowns in each of his last two seasons at Utah, the 6-foot-4, 240-pound tight end tied for 17th at the position with nine red-zone targets, only one more than Knox. It’s hard to imagine Kincaid’s red-zone usage going anywhere but up given his precise route running, but with the 6-foot-4, 254-pound Knox still around, Kincaid may continue to cede more prime red-zone opportunities than other similarly skilled tight ends. Read Past Outlooks
Buffalo's leading receiver in loss
Kincaid caught all five of his targets for 45 yards in Buffalo's 27-24 divisional-round loss to the Chiefs on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The stat line explains more than just Kincaid having another strong game in what's been a fantastic rookie season, as the fact that his 45 yards led the team shows just how much the Bills couldn't get Stefon Diggs going in such a crucial game, or that Josh Allen has to play Superman with his legs for the team to keep up with elite opponents. As for Kincaid, his 73 receptions in the regular season were the fourth most in NFL history by a rookie tight end, and he's already passed teammate Dawson Knox as the No. 1 tight end in the passing game. The future is bright for Kincaid, who posted a 73-673-2 line in 16 regular-season games, especially considering he'll have an elite quarterback throwing him the ball for perhaps the next several years.
The stat line explains more than just Kincaid having another strong game in what's been a fantastic rookie season, as the fact that his 45 yards led the team shows just how much the Bills couldn't get Stefon Diggs going in such a crucial game, or that Josh Allen has to play Superman with his legs for the team to keep up with elite opponents. As for Kincaid, his 73 receptions in the regular season were the fourth most in NFL history by a rookie tight end, and he's already passed teammate Dawson Knox as the No. 1 tight end in the passing game. The future is bright for Kincaid, who posted a 73-673-2 line in 16 regular-season games, especially considering he'll have an elite quarterback throwing him the ball for perhaps the next several years.
NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dalton Kincaid's 2023 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank.
The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
Air Yards Per Game
36.4Air Yards Per Snap
0.87% Team Air Yards
12.7%% Team Targets
17.1%Avg Depth of Target
6.3 YdsCatch Rate
80.2%Drop Rate
5.5%Avg Yds After Catch
4.5% Targeted On Route
19.7%Avg Yds Per Route Run
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2023
2023 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
How often does Dalton Kincaid run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dalton Kincaid and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dalton Kincaid
463 routes 91 targets
217 routes 36 targets
7 routes 0 targets
46 routes 3 targets
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dalton Kincaid lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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Side
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2023 Dalton Kincaid Split Stats
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Outlook for '24 gets boost
Kincaid is set for a boost in targets in 2024 following the trade of Stefon Diggs to the Texans on Wednesday, ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The talented tight end already had an encouraging prospectus for next season, given the fact he'll once again play in a Josh Allen-helmed offense and that he already produced a 73-673-2 line on 91 targets across 16 games as a rookie in 2023. With Diggs and his 160 targets now in Houston -- and Gabe Davis also having departed in free agency to Jacksonville -- Kincaid should have a very good chance of logging triple-digit looks in 2024.
The talented tight end already had an encouraging prospectus for next season, given the fact he'll once again play in a Josh Allen-helmed offense and that he already produced a 73-673-2 line on 91 targets across 16 games as a rookie in 2023. With Diggs and his 160 targets now in Houston -- and Gabe Davis also having departed in free agency to Jacksonville -- Kincaid should have a very good chance of logging triple-digit looks in 2024.
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Buffalo traded up two spots to select Kincaid 25th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. While the rookie out of Utah is going to an explosive offense helmed by quarterback Josh Allen, the presence of fellow tight end Dawson Knox likely will prevent Kincaid from taking on large snap counts. Knox already has excellent red-zone chemistry with Allen, having caught 15 touchdowns over the past two seasons, and there will only be so many targets to go around for the tight ends behind wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis. Kincaid scored eight touchdowns each of his last two seasons at Utah, and he finished with 70 catches for 890 yards in 2022. The 6-foot-4 tight end has the skills and situation to develop into a productive pass catcher at the position, but he’ll likely be brought along slowly unless injuries to teammates thrust him into a key role.
More Fantasy News
Shines in postseason debut
Kincaid caught three of six targets for 59 yards and a touchdown in Monday's 31-17 playoff win over the Steelers.
ANALYSIS
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Strong finish to rookie season
Kincaid finished with seven receptions on eight targets for 84 yards in Sunday's 21-14 win over the Dolphins.
ANALYSIS
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Leading receiver in Week 17
Kincaid caught four of seven targets for 87 yards in Sunday's 27-21 win over the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
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Set to play Saturday
Kincaid (shoulder) doesn't have an injury designation for Saturday's game against the Chargers.
ANALYSIS
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Limited in Wednesday's practice
Kincaid (shoulder) was a limited participant in practice Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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