Colt Keith

Colt Keith

22-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Detroit Tigers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
A bat-first infielder without a natural position, Keith is a career .303 hitter in the minors and established himself as one of the best offensive-minded prospects in the game while splitting time between Double-A and Triple-A. He slashed .306/.380/.552 with 27 home runs and a 21.0 K% in 126 games across the top two levels of the minors but never got the call to the majors in his age-21 season. Generally a pull hitter who has steadily cut his groundball rate (below 35% at Double-A and Triple-A), Keith logged an excellent 34 percent hard-hit rate in the minors and should be able to produce enough at the plate to make up for his shaky defense. He saw 35 starts at second base and 20 starts at third base while at Triple-A, but he played more total games at third base when factoring in his Double-A usage, so he should enter the year eligible at third base with a chance to add second-base eligibility in season. The fact he didn't get the call last season led to some uncertainty about whether he would open 2024 on the big-league roster, but the six-year extension he signed with Detroit in January means he'll likely be in the big leagues Opening Day. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#297
ADP
$Signed a six-year, $26 million contract extension with the Tigers in January of 2024. Contract includes $10 million team option ($2.64 million buyout) for 2030, $13 million team option ($1 million buyout) for 2031 and $15 million team option ($2 million buyout) for 2032.
Records two hits, stolen base
3BDetroit Tigers
May 12, 2024
Keith went 2-for-4 with a double and a run scored in Saturday's 8-2 win over the Astros. He also stole a base.
ANALYSIS
Keith didn't start Friday with Houston deploying lefty Framber Valdez, but the second baseman returned Saturday and extended his hitting streak to three games. It's a small bit of progress for Keith, as the 22-year-old rookie is batting just .174 for the season. Expect the Tigers to remain patient with Keith, however, and give the talented youngster plenty of chances to settle in at the MLB level.
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Batting Stats
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2024
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
8
19
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+31%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+31%
OPS vs RHP
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .353 17 0 0 0 0 .176 .176 .176
Since 2022vs Right .461 107 7 0 10 3 .177 .252 .208
2024vs Left .353 17 0 0 0 0 .176 .176 .176
2024vs Right .461 107 7 0 10 3 .177 .252 .208
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+27%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+27%
OPS at Home
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .495 65 3 0 3 2 .200 .262 .233
Since 2022Away .390 59 4 0 7 1 .151 .220 .170
2024Home .495 65 3 0 3 2 .200 .262 .233
2024Away .390 59 4 0 7 1 .151 .220 .170
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Colt Keith compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.48
 
BB Rate
8.1%
 
K Rate
16.9%
 
BABIP
.215
 
ISO
.027
 
AVG
.177
 
OBP
.242
 
SLG
.204
 
OPS
.445
 
wOBA
.204
 
Exit Velocity
88.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
25.8%
 
Barrels/PA
4.8%
 
Expected BA
.241
 
Expected SLG
.370
 
Sprint Speed
24.1 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
41.9%
 
Line Drive %
17.2%
 
Fly Ball %
40.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Struggles in early going
3BDetroit Tigers
May 6, 2024
Keith posted a .152/.227/.172 slash line through 30 MLB games and has dealt with some mechanical issues at the plate, reports Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
The first five weeks of Keith's MLB career have been a disaster, as he entered Monday ranked dead last among qualified hitters with a 17 wRC+. However, Keith may have deserved some better results with a .241 xBA and .377 xSLG, and his contact skills have been solid with a 9.2 percent walk rate and 17.3 percent strikeout rate. How long the 22-year-old gets to turn things around remains to be seen, but he may need to show signs of life soon with Gio Urshela closing in on his return from a hamstring injury.
See All MLB Rumors
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Despite being a bat-first prospect unlikely to provide positive defensive value, Keith is the Tigers' best prospect due to his impact potential at the plate. The lefty-hitting infielder slashed .301/.370/.544 with nine home runs, a 19.4 K%, 10.2 BB%, 78.2 Contact% and 30.4 Hard% in 48 games at High-A before missing the final three months of the minor-league season with a shoulder injury that did not require surgery. Keith made it back for the Arizona Fall League, slashing .344/.463/.541 with three home runs and a 16:16 K:BB in 80 plate appearances. He has been playing third base and second base at recent stops, and there isn't enough talent in this organization to prevent Keith from getting steady playing time, even as a subpar defender. His upside is a plus hitter with plus power who hits second or third in the order. Keith is on track to reach the majors in 2024.
More Fantasy News
Idle Friday
3BDetroit Tigers
May 10, 2024
Keith is out of the lineup for Friday's game against Houston.
ANALYSIS
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Scores, drives in two Wednesday
3BDetroit Tigers
May 8, 2024
Keith went 1-for-4 with a run scored and two RBI in Wednesday's 5-4, 10-inning loss to the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
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On bench Tuesday
3BDetroit Tigers
May 7, 2024
Keith is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Sunday after all
3BDetroit Tigers
May 5, 2024
Keith will start at second base and bat seventh in Sunday's game against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting against southpaw
3BDetroit Tigers
May 5, 2024
Keith is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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